Part ten

The students did not get worse. The scale did.

If the collapse in Level 5 reflected a real decline in what students know, it should show up somewhere else. It does not. Below, the share of high school Math 1 students scoring Level 5 sits alongside the share of 11th graders meeting the ACT mathematics benchmark, an outside test the State Board does not set.

One line falls off a cliff in a single year. The other drifts inside a five-point band for seven years and ends up near where it started. Pick any district or school to see the same comparison locally.

State of North Carolina

Statewide

Sources: NC DPI School Assessment and Other Indicator Data, subject codes M1 (high school Math 1) and ACTMA (ACT mathematics benchmark). The picker covers 115 districts and 709 schools; 31 of those have no Math 1 figure in any year and 38 have no ACT figure, and small schools will show gaps wherever counts fall under the suppression threshold. From 2018‑19 on the Level 5 rate is almost always suppressed and recovered as CCR minus Level 4; seven school-year cells came out slightly below zero from rounding and are shown as 0.0%.

Statewide the ACT benchmark ran 28.8, 25.4, 24.2, 24.0, 23.9, 23.4, then 26.8. It sagged about five points through the pandemic years and recovered. Over exactly the same period the number of students clearing Level 5 on high school Math 1 fell by 89%, from 13,317 in 2017‑18 to 1,450 in 2024‑25, and 85% of that happened in one year. One of those two things is a story about students. The other is a story about a cut score.

The 2017‑18 end of that comparison is not on quite the same basis as the rest. It was the last year a ninth grader's Math 1 score from middle school was banked into the high school's results, a practice that ended in 2018‑19 and took 33,522 students out of the high school Math 1 count with it. Part of the 89% therefore reflects students leaving this count rather than leaving Level 5. The share cannot be separated out, because banked scores are not reported on their own. The cut score chart carries the fuller note.